DartsEdge

Completed Match

Full leg data

Michael Smith

6–5

Paolo Nebrida

Bahrain Darts Masters 2024 • Round of 16 • 18 Jan 2024, 20:00 UTC

WinnerMichael Smith
Score6–5
DataFull leg data

Why this match was won

Post-match verdict

Michael Smith won 6–5. The result was driven by a 10.2 point 3-dart average edge for Michael Smith; a 11.6 percentage point checkout edge for Michael Smith; the longest leg run belonging to Michael Smith at 2 legs.

Average gap10.2 ptsMichael Smith led the 3-dart average.
Checkout gap11.6 ptsMichael Smith finished cleaner on doubles.
Leg flow2-leg runMichael Smith had the longest scoring burst.
Pre-match edgeNo clean edgePrediction unavailable

Pre-match edge post-mortem

Prediction unavailable
No clean edge

There was no clean structured pre-match edge to grade here. The useful read is the actual performance split and leg flow, not retrofitting a prediction after the fact.

Match comparison

One table, no stat-card cosplay
Michael SmithPaolo Nebrida
98.3
3-dart averageMichael Smith edge
88.1
100.3
First 9 averagePaolo Nebrida edge
102.5
42.9%
Checkout %Michael Smith edge
31.3%
16
100+Level
16
5
140+Level
5
6
180sMichael Smith edge
3
94
Highest checkoutPaolo Nebrida edge
118

Key performance insights

Driven by the final stat split and leg availability
Michael Smith created the cleaner scoring base with a 10.2 point edge in 3-dart average.
Michael Smith was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 11.6 percentage points better on doubles.
Paolo Nebrida set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 2.2 point First 9 advantage.
Michael Smith took the final leg in 17 darts, closing the match at 6–5.

Leg-flow story

Runs, breaks, and decisive legs
Michael Smith produced the longest run of the match with 2 legs in a row.
3 legs were won against the throw, which is where the match pressure actually moved.
Michael Smith closed the final leg at 6–5 in 17 darts.

Scoring and finishing

Volume plus conversion
Michael Smith
3-dart avg98.3
180s / 140+ / 100+6 / 5 / 16
Checkout %42.9%
Highest checkout94
Checkouts6/14
Paolo Nebrida
3-dart avg88.1
180s / 140+ / 100+3 / 5 / 16
Checkout %31.3%
Highest checkout118
Checkouts5/16

Momentum strip

Match flow by leg
L1Paolo Nebrida
L2Michael Smith
L3Paolo Nebrida
L4Michael Smith
L5Paolo Nebrida
L6Michael Smith
L7Michael Smith
L8Paolo Nebrida
L9Paolo Nebrida
L10Michael Smith
L11Michael Smith

Leg-by-leg table

11 legs captured
LegWinnerDartsCheckout
Leg 1
Paolo Nebrida
16
18
Leg 2
Michael Smith
19
40
Leg 3
Paolo Nebrida
16
40
Leg 4
Michael Smith
13Fast leg
12
Leg 5
Paolo Nebrida
16
40
Leg 6
Michael Smith
12Fast leg
94
Leg 7Streak of 2
Michael Smith
13Fast leg
20
Leg 8
Paolo Nebrida
15Fast leg
118
Leg 9Streak of 2
Paolo Nebrida
14Fast leg
25
Leg 10
Michael Smith
13Fast leg
40
Leg 11Streak of 2
Michael Smith
17
47

Data coverage

Source and completeness
CoverageFull leg data
Stats rows2
Legs / visits11 / 112
Sourceflashscore_match_history