DartsEdge

Completed Match

Full leg data

Nathan Aspinall

6–5

Lourence Ilagan

Bahrain Darts Masters 2024 • Round of 16 • 18 Jan 2024, 17:30 UTC

WinnerNathan Aspinall
Score6–5
DataFull leg data

Why this match was won

Post-match verdict

Nathan Aspinall won 6–5. The result was driven by a 12.9 point 3-dart average edge for Nathan Aspinall; a 33.9 percentage point checkout edge for Lourence Ilagan; the longest leg run belonging to Lourence Ilagan at 3 legs.

Average gap12.9 ptsNathan Aspinall led the 3-dart average.
Checkout gap33.9 ptsLourence Ilagan finished cleaner on doubles.
Leg flow3-leg runLourence Ilagan had the longest scoring burst.
Pre-match edgeNo clean edgePrediction unavailable

Pre-match edge post-mortem

Prediction unavailable
No clean edge

There was no clean structured pre-match edge to grade here. The useful read is the actual performance split and leg flow, not retrofitting a prediction after the fact.

Match comparison

One table, no stat-card cosplay
Nathan AspinallLourence Ilagan
97.2
3-dart averageNathan Aspinall edge
84.4
107.1
First 9 averageNathan Aspinall edge
92
28.6%
Checkout %Lourence Ilagan edge
62.5%
14
100+Level
14
8
140+Nathan Aspinall edge
6
2
180sNathan Aspinall edge
1
102
Highest checkoutNathan Aspinall edge
80

Key performance insights

Driven by the final stat split and leg availability
Nathan Aspinall created the cleaner scoring base with a 12.9 point edge in 3-dart average.
Lourence Ilagan was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 33.9 percentage points better on doubles.
Nathan Aspinall set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 15.1 point First 9 advantage.
Nathan Aspinall took the final leg in 12 darts, closing the match at 6–5.

Leg-flow story

Runs, breaks, and decisive legs
Lourence Ilagan produced the longest run of the match with 3 legs in a row.
2 legs were won against the throw, which is where the match pressure actually moved.
Nathan Aspinall closed the final leg at 6–5 in 12 darts.

Scoring and finishing

Volume plus conversion
Nathan Aspinall
3-dart avg97.2
180s / 140+ / 100+2 / 8 / 14
Checkout %28.6%
Highest checkout102
Checkouts6/21
Lourence Ilagan
3-dart avg84.4
180s / 140+ / 100+1 / 6 / 14
Checkout %62.5%
Highest checkout80
Checkouts5/8

Momentum strip

Match flow by leg
L1Nathan Aspinall
L2Lourence Ilagan
L3Lourence Ilagan
L4Lourence Ilagan
L5Nathan Aspinall
L6Lourence Ilagan
L7Nathan Aspinall
L8Lourence Ilagan
L9Nathan Aspinall
L10Nathan Aspinall
L11Nathan Aspinall

Leg-by-leg table

11 legs captured
LegWinnerDartsCheckout
Leg 1
Nathan Aspinall
15Fast leg
90
Leg 2
Lourence Ilagan
14Fast leg
76
Leg 3Streak of 2
Lourence Ilagan
17
80
Leg 4Streak of 3
Lourence Ilagan
13Fast leg
24
Leg 5
Nathan Aspinall
19
8
Leg 6
Lourence Ilagan
19
40
Leg 7
Nathan Aspinall
16
10
Leg 8
Lourence Ilagan
14Fast leg
56
Leg 9
Nathan Aspinall
14Fast leg
59
Leg 10Streak of 2
Nathan Aspinall
14Fast leg
54
Leg 11Streak of 3
Nathan Aspinall
12Fast leg
102

Data coverage

Source and completeness
CoverageFull leg data
Stats rows2
Legs / visits11 / 111
Sourceflashscore_match_history