Completed Match

Full leg data

PDC World Championship 2026 • Round of 64 • 22 Dec 2025, 20:17 UTC • Best of 5 legs

WinnerNathan Aspinall
Score9–3
DataFull leg data

Why this match was won

Post-match verdict

Nathan Aspinall won 9–3. The result was driven by a 3.8 point 3-dart average edge for Nathan Aspinall; a 9.0 percentage point checkout edge for Nathan Aspinall; the longest leg run belonging to Nathan Aspinall at 4 legs.

Average gap3.8 ptsNathan Aspinall led the 3-dart average.
Checkout gap9.0 ptsNathan Aspinall finished cleaner on doubles.
Leg flow4-leg runNathan Aspinall had the longest scoring burst.
Pre-match edgeNo clean edgePrediction unavailable

Pre-match edge post-mortem

Prediction unavailable
No clean edge

There was no clean structured pre-match edge to grade here. The useful read is the actual performance split and leg flow, not retrofitting a prediction after the fact.

Match comparison

One table, no stat-card cosplay
Nathan AspinallLeonard Gates
91.8
3-dart averageNathan Aspinall edge
88
100.3
First 9 averageNathan Aspinall edge
91.3
39.0%
Checkout %Nathan Aspinall edge
30.0%
16
100+Leonard Gates edge
17
8
140+Leonard Gates edge
9
3
180sNathan Aspinall edge
1
80
Highest checkoutLeonard Gates edge
81

Key performance insights

Driven by the final stat split and leg availability
Nathan Aspinall created the cleaner scoring base with a 3.8 point edge in 3-dart average.
Nathan Aspinall was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 9.0 percentage points better on doubles.
Nathan Aspinall set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 9.0 point First 9 advantage.
Nathan Aspinall took the final leg in 17 darts, closing the match at 9–3.

Leg-flow story

Runs, breaks, and decisive legs
Nathan Aspinall produced the longest run of the match with 4 legs in a row.
5 legs were won against the throw, which is where the match pressure actually moved.
Nathan Aspinall closed the final leg at 9–3 in 17 darts.

Scoring and finishing

Volume plus conversion
Nathan Aspinall
3-dart avg91.8
180s / 140+ / 100+3 / 8 / 16
Checkout %39.0%
Highest checkout80
Checkouts9/23
Leonard Gates
3-dart avg88
180s / 140+ / 100+1 / 9 / 17
Checkout %30.0%
Highest checkout81
Checkouts3/10

Momentum strip

Match flow by leg
L1Leonard Gates
L2Nathan Aspinall
L3Nathan Aspinall
L4Nathan Aspinall
L5Leonard Gates
L6Nathan Aspinall
L7Nathan Aspinall
L8Nathan Aspinall
L9Nathan Aspinall
L10Leonard Gates
L11Nathan Aspinall
L12Nathan Aspinall

Leg-by-leg table

12 legs captured
LegWinnerDartsCheckout
Set 1 · Leg 1
Leonard Gates
13Fast leg
38
Set 1 · Leg 2
Nathan Aspinall
14Fast leg
80
Set 1 · Leg 3Streak of 2
Nathan Aspinall
16
16
Set 1 · Leg 4Streak of 3
Nathan Aspinall
14Fast leg
46
Set 2 · Leg 1
Leonard Gates
16
20
Set 2 · Leg 2
Nathan Aspinall
13Fast leg
32
Set 2 · Leg 3Streak of 2
Nathan Aspinall
16
40
Set 2 · Leg 4Streak of 3
Nathan Aspinall
19
8
Set 3 · Leg 1Streak of 4
Nathan Aspinall
20
41
Set 3 · Leg 2
Leonard Gates
12Fast leg
81
Set 3 · Leg 3
Nathan Aspinall
14Fast leg
70
Set 3 · Leg 4Streak of 2
Nathan Aspinall
17
42

Data coverage

Source and completeness
CoverageFull leg data
Stats rows2
Legs / visits12 / 127
Sourcederived_from_total_legs_won