DartsEdge

Completed Match

Full leg data

Luke Littler

9–4

David Davies

PDC World Championship 2026 • Round of 64 • 21 Dec 2025, 21:05 UTC • Best of 5 legs

WinnerLuke Littler
Score9–4
DataFull leg data

Why this match was won

Post-match verdict

Luke Littler won 9–4. The result was driven by a 1.6 point 3-dart average edge for Luke Littler; a 27.0 percentage point checkout edge for Luke Littler; the longest leg run belonging to Luke Littler at 4 legs.

Average gap1.6 ptsLuke Littler led the 3-dart average.
Checkout gap27.0 ptsLuke Littler finished cleaner on doubles.
Leg flow4-leg runLuke Littler had the longest scoring burst.
Pre-match edgeNo clean edgePrediction unavailable

Pre-match edge post-mortem

Prediction unavailable
No clean edge

There was no clean structured pre-match edge to grade here. The useful read is the actual performance split and leg flow, not retrofitting a prediction after the fact.

Match comparison

One table, no stat-card cosplay
Luke LittlerDavid Davies
97.2
3-dart averageLuke Littler edge
95.5
102.2
First 9 averageDavid Davies edge
108.7
47.0%
Checkout %Luke Littler edge
20.0%
14
100+Luke Littler edge
13
8
140+David Davies edge
13
4
180sLuke Littler edge
1
145
Highest checkoutLuke Littler edge
81

Key performance insights

Driven by the final stat split and leg availability
Luke Littler created the cleaner scoring base with a 1.6 point edge in 3-dart average.
Luke Littler was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 27.0 percentage points better on doubles.
David Davies set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 6.5 point First 9 advantage.
Luke Littler took the final leg in 17 darts, closing the match at 9–4.

Leg-flow story

Runs, breaks, and decisive legs
Luke Littler produced the longest run of the match with 4 legs in a row.
4 legs were won against the throw, which is where the match pressure actually moved.
Luke Littler closed the final leg at 9–4 in 17 darts.

Scoring and finishing

Volume plus conversion
Luke Littler
3-dart avg97.2
180s / 140+ / 100+4 / 8 / 14
Checkout %47.0%
Highest checkout145
Checkouts9/19
David Davies
3-dart avg95.5
180s / 140+ / 100+1 / 13 / 13
Checkout %20.0%
Highest checkout81
Checkouts4/20

Momentum strip

Match flow by leg
L1Luke Littler
L2David Davies
L3David Davies
L4Luke Littler
L5Luke Littler
L6David Davies
L7Luke Littler
L8Luke Littler
L9Luke Littler
L10Luke Littler
L11David Davies
L12Luke Littler
L13Luke Littler

Leg-by-leg table

13 legs captured
LegWinnerDartsCheckout
Set 1 · Leg 1
Luke Littler
19
20
Set 1 · Leg 2
David Davies
13Fast leg
40
Set 1 · Leg 3Streak of 2
David Davies
13Fast leg
8
Set 1 · Leg 4
Luke Littler
16
40
Set 1 · Leg 5Streak of 2
Luke Littler
15Fast leg
82
Set 2 · Leg 1
David Davies
12Fast leg
81
Set 2 · Leg 2
Luke Littler
15Fast leg
145
Set 2 · Leg 3Streak of 2
Luke Littler
13Fast leg
24
Set 2 · Leg 4Streak of 3
Luke Littler
13Fast leg
40
Set 3 · Leg 1Streak of 4
Luke Littler
13Fast leg
40
Set 3 · Leg 2
David Davies
14Fast leg
25
Set 3 · Leg 3
Luke Littler
16
36
Set 3 · Leg 4Streak of 2
Luke Littler
17
35

Data coverage

Source and completeness
CoverageFull leg data
Stats rows2
Legs / visits13 / 129
Sourcederived_from_total_legs_won