DartsEdge

Completed Match

Full breakdown mode

Nathan Aspinall

11–8

Lourence Ilagan

PDC World Championship 2026 • Round of 128 • 19 Dec 2025, 21:29 UTC • Best of 5 legs

WinnerNathan Aspinall
Score11–8
ModeFull breakdown

AI match summary

Awaiting recap signal

This match page now supports a dedicated completed-match recap path, but the post-match summary signal is not populated for this one yet.

Edge result

Prediction unavailable
No clean edge

There is not enough structured preview output here yet to judge whether the pre-match edge landed.

Player performance comparison

Final stat split
Nathan Aspinall avg94
Lourence Ilagan avg90.6
Nathan Aspinall checkout44.0%
Lourence Ilagan checkout31.0%

Core match stats

Better values highlighted
Nathan AspinallLourence Ilagan
94
3-dart averageNathan Aspinall edge
90.6
94.1
First 9 averageLourence Ilagan edge
98
44.0%
Checkout %Nathan Aspinall edge
31.0%
20
100+Lourence Ilagan edge
24
15
140+Nathan Aspinall edge
14
6
180sNathan Aspinall edge
4
170
Highest checkoutNathan Aspinall edge
64

Key performance insights

Driven by the final stat split and leg availability
Nathan Aspinall created the cleaner scoring base with a 3.4 point edge in 3-dart average.
Nathan Aspinall was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 13.0 percentage points better on doubles.
Lourence Ilagan set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 3.8 point First 9 advantage.

Scoring summary

Power scoring and volume
Nathan Aspinall
180s6
140+15
100+20
Lourence Ilagan
180s4
140+14
100+24

Finishing summary

Checkout quality and conversion
Nathan Aspinall
Checkout %44.0%
Highest checkout170
Checkouts11/25
Lourence Ilagan
Checkout %31.0%
Highest checkout64
Checkouts8/26

Momentum strip

Match flow by leg
L1Nathan Aspinall
L2Lourence Ilagan
L3Nathan Aspinall
L4Lourence Ilagan
L5Lourence Ilagan
L6Nathan Aspinall
L7Nathan Aspinall
L8Lourence Ilagan
L9Nathan Aspinall
L10Nathan Aspinall
L11Lourence Ilagan
L12Lourence Ilagan
L13Nathan Aspinall
L14Nathan Aspinall
L15Lourence Ilagan
L16Nathan Aspinall
L17Lourence Ilagan
L18Nathan Aspinall
L19Nathan Aspinall

Leg-by-leg table

19 legs captured
LegWinnerDartsCheckout
Set 1 · Leg 1
Nathan Aspinall
15Fast leg
86
Set 1 · Leg 2
Lourence Ilagan
19
40
Set 1 · Leg 3
Nathan Aspinall
16
24
Set 1 · Leg 4
Lourence Ilagan
16
20
Set 1 · Leg 5Streak of 2
Lourence Ilagan
16
40
Set 2 · Leg 1
Nathan Aspinall
15Fast leg
114
Set 2 · Leg 2Streak of 2
Nathan Aspinall
16
32
Set 2 · Leg 3
Lourence Ilagan
16
40
Set 2 · Leg 4
Nathan Aspinall
14Fast leg
61
Set 3 · Leg 1Streak of 2
Nathan Aspinall
14Fast leg
61
Set 3 · Leg 2
Lourence Ilagan
16
50
Set 3 · Leg 3Streak of 2
Lourence Ilagan
14Fast leg
64
Set 3 · Leg 4
Nathan Aspinall
15Fast leg
84
Set 3 · Leg 5Streak of 2
Nathan Aspinall
14Fast leg
56
Set 4 · Leg 1
Lourence Ilagan
13Fast leg
40
Set 4 · Leg 2
Nathan Aspinall
16
16
Set 4 · Leg 3
Lourence Ilagan
14Fast leg
64
Set 4 · Leg 4
Nathan Aspinall
16
16
Set 4 · Leg 5Streak of 2
Nathan Aspinall
12Fast leg
170

Match stats

2 player rows

Nathan Aspinall

3-dart avg94
First 994.1
Checkout44.0% (11/25)
180s6
High checkout170
100+ checkouts2

Lourence Ilagan

3-dart avg90.6
First 998
Checkout31.0% (8/26)
180s4
High checkout64
100+ checkouts0

AI edge post-mortem

Work in progress

Nathan Aspinall closed this out 11–8, and the completed-match recap now has the right scaffolding to explain the result with more than a shrug.