DartsEdge

Completed Match

Full leg data

Nathan Aspinall

11–8

Lourence Ilagan

PDC World Championship 2026 • Round of 128 • 19 Dec 2025, 21:29 UTC • Best of 5 legs

WinnerNathan Aspinall
Score11–8
DataFull leg data

Why this match was won

Post-match verdict

Nathan Aspinall won 11–8. The result was driven by a 3.4 point 3-dart average edge for Nathan Aspinall; a 13.0 percentage point checkout edge for Nathan Aspinall; the longest leg run belonging to Lourence Ilagan at 2 legs.

Average gap3.4 ptsNathan Aspinall led the 3-dart average.
Checkout gap13.0 ptsNathan Aspinall finished cleaner on doubles.
Leg flow2-leg runLourence Ilagan had the longest scoring burst.
Pre-match edgeNo clean edgePrediction unavailable

Pre-match edge post-mortem

Prediction unavailable
No clean edge

There was no clean structured pre-match edge to grade here. The useful read is the actual performance split and leg flow, not retrofitting a prediction after the fact.

Match comparison

One table, no stat-card cosplay
Nathan AspinallLourence Ilagan
94
3-dart averageNathan Aspinall edge
90.6
94.1
First 9 averageLourence Ilagan edge
98
44.0%
Checkout %Nathan Aspinall edge
31.0%
20
100+Lourence Ilagan edge
24
15
140+Nathan Aspinall edge
14
6
180sNathan Aspinall edge
4
170
Highest checkoutNathan Aspinall edge
64

Key performance insights

Driven by the final stat split and leg availability
Nathan Aspinall created the cleaner scoring base with a 3.4 point edge in 3-dart average.
Nathan Aspinall was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 13.0 percentage points better on doubles.
Lourence Ilagan set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 3.8 point First 9 advantage.
Nathan Aspinall took the final leg in 12 darts, closing the match at 11–8.

Leg-flow story

Runs, breaks, and decisive legs
Lourence Ilagan produced the longest run of the match with 2 legs in a row.
5 legs were won against the throw, which is where the match pressure actually moved.
Nathan Aspinall closed the final leg at 11–8 in 12 darts.

Scoring and finishing

Volume plus conversion
Nathan Aspinall
3-dart avg94
180s / 140+ / 100+6 / 15 / 20
Checkout %44.0%
Highest checkout170
Checkouts11/25
Lourence Ilagan
3-dart avg90.6
180s / 140+ / 100+4 / 14 / 24
Checkout %31.0%
Highest checkout64
Checkouts8/26

Momentum strip

Match flow by leg
L1Nathan Aspinall
L2Lourence Ilagan
L3Nathan Aspinall
L4Lourence Ilagan
L5Lourence Ilagan
L6Nathan Aspinall
L7Nathan Aspinall
L8Lourence Ilagan
L9Nathan Aspinall
L10Nathan Aspinall
L11Lourence Ilagan
L12Lourence Ilagan
L13Nathan Aspinall
L14Nathan Aspinall
L15Lourence Ilagan
L16Nathan Aspinall
L17Lourence Ilagan
L18Nathan Aspinall
L19Nathan Aspinall

Leg-by-leg table

19 legs captured
LegWinnerDartsCheckout
Set 1 · Leg 1
Nathan Aspinall
15Fast leg
86
Set 1 · Leg 2
Lourence Ilagan
19
40
Set 1 · Leg 3
Nathan Aspinall
16
24
Set 1 · Leg 4
Lourence Ilagan
16
20
Set 1 · Leg 5Streak of 2
Lourence Ilagan
16
40
Set 2 · Leg 1
Nathan Aspinall
15Fast leg
114
Set 2 · Leg 2Streak of 2
Nathan Aspinall
16
32
Set 2 · Leg 3
Lourence Ilagan
16
40
Set 2 · Leg 4
Nathan Aspinall
14Fast leg
61
Set 3 · Leg 1Streak of 2
Nathan Aspinall
14Fast leg
61
Set 3 · Leg 2
Lourence Ilagan
16
50
Set 3 · Leg 3Streak of 2
Lourence Ilagan
14Fast leg
64
Set 3 · Leg 4
Nathan Aspinall
15Fast leg
84
Set 3 · Leg 5Streak of 2
Nathan Aspinall
14Fast leg
56
Set 4 · Leg 1
Lourence Ilagan
13Fast leg
40
Set 4 · Leg 2
Nathan Aspinall
16
16
Set 4 · Leg 3
Lourence Ilagan
14Fast leg
64
Set 4 · Leg 4
Nathan Aspinall
16
16
Set 4 · Leg 5Streak of 2
Nathan Aspinall
12Fast leg
170

Data coverage

Source and completeness
CoverageFull leg data
Stats rows2
Legs / visits19 / 194
Sourcederived_from_total_legs_won