Completed Match

Full leg data

Modus Super Series • 7 May 2026, 22:37 UTC • Best of 7 legs

WinnerPaul Hogan
Score2–4
DataFull leg data

Why this match was won

Post-match verdict

Paul Hogan won 2–4. The result was driven by a 8.4 point 3-dart average edge for Paul Hogan; a 7.0 percentage point checkout edge for Paul Hogan; the longest leg run belonging to Paul Hogan at 2 legs.

Average gap8.4 ptsPaul Hogan led the 3-dart average.
Checkout gap7.0 ptsPaul Hogan finished cleaner on doubles.
Leg flow2-leg runPaul Hogan had the longest scoring burst.
Pre-match edgeNo clean edgePrediction unavailable

Pre-match edge post-mortem

Prediction unavailable
No clean edge

There was no clean structured pre-match edge to grade here. The useful read is the actual performance split and leg flow, not retrofitting a prediction after the fact.

Match comparison

One table, no stat-card cosplay
Carl WilkinsonPaul Hogan
92.6
3-dart averagePaul Hogan edge
101
94.7
First 9 averagePaul Hogan edge
114.9
33.0%
Checkout %Paul Hogan edge
40.0%
3
100+Paul Hogan edge
5
6
140+Paul Hogan edge
9
0
180sPaul Hogan edge
1
100
Highest checkoutCarl Wilkinson edge
92

Key performance insights

Driven by the final stat split and leg availability
Paul Hogan created the cleaner scoring base with a 8.4 point edge in 3-dart average.
Paul Hogan was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 7.0 percentage points better on doubles.
Paul Hogan set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 20.3 point First 9 advantage.
Paul Hogan took the final leg in 13 darts, closing the match at 2–4.

Leg-flow story

Runs, breaks, and decisive legs
Paul Hogan produced the longest run of the match with 2 legs in a row.
3 legs were won against the throw, which is where the match pressure actually moved.
Paul Hogan closed the final leg at 2–4 in 13 darts.

Scoring and finishing

Volume plus conversion
Carl Wilkinson
3-dart avg92.6
180s / 140+ / 100+0 / 6 / 3
Checkout %33.0%
Highest checkout100
Checkouts2/6
Paul Hogan
3-dart avg101
180s / 140+ / 100+1 / 9 / 5
Checkout %40.0%
Highest checkout92
Checkouts4/10

Momentum strip

Match flow by leg
L1Paul Hogan
L2Carl Wilkinson
L3Paul Hogan
L4Paul Hogan
L5Carl Wilkinson
L6Paul Hogan

Leg-by-leg table

6 legs captured
LegWinnerDartsCheckout
Set 1 · Leg 1
Paul Hogan
18
81
Set 1 · Leg 2
Carl Wilkinson
15Fast leg
100
Set 1 · Leg 3
Paul Hogan
16
4
Set 1 · Leg 4Streak of 2
Paul Hogan
12Fast leg
92
Set 1 · Leg 5
Carl Wilkinson
13Fast leg
32
Set 1 · Leg 6
Paul Hogan
13Fast leg
32

Data coverage

Source and completeness
CoverageFull leg data
Stats rows2
Legs / visits6 / 59
Sourcefull_leg_data