DartsEdge

Completed Match

Full leg data

Mario Vandenbogaerde

4–9

David Davies

PDC World Championship 2026 • Round of 128 • 13 Dec 2025, 12:47 UTC • Best of 5 legs

WinnerDavid Davies
Score4–9
DataFull leg data

Why this match was won

Post-match verdict

David Davies won 4–9. The result was driven by a 1.3 point 3-dart average edge for Mario Vandenbogaerde; a 16.0 percentage point checkout edge for David Davies; the longest leg run belonging to David Davies at 6 legs.

Average gap1.3 ptsMario Vandenbogaerde led the 3-dart average.
Checkout gap16.0 ptsDavid Davies finished cleaner on doubles.
Leg flow6-leg runDavid Davies had the longest scoring burst.
Pre-match edgeNo clean edgePrediction unavailable

Pre-match edge post-mortem

Prediction unavailable
No clean edge

There was no clean structured pre-match edge to grade here. The useful read is the actual performance split and leg flow, not retrofitting a prediction after the fact.

Match comparison

One table, no stat-card cosplay
Mario VandenbogaerdeDavid Davies
87.8
3-dart averageMario Vandenbogaerde edge
86.5
92.5
First 9 averageDavid Davies edge
96.5
22.0%
Checkout %David Davies edge
38.0%
10
100+David Davies edge
13
17
140+Mario Vandenbogaerde edge
7
1
180sDavid Davies edge
3
81
Highest checkoutLevel
81

Key performance insights

Driven by the final stat split and leg availability
Mario Vandenbogaerde created the cleaner scoring base with a 1.3 point edge in 3-dart average.
David Davies was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 16.0 percentage points better on doubles.
David Davies set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 4.0 point First 9 advantage.
David Davies took the final leg in 22 darts, closing the match at 4–9.

Leg-flow story

Runs, breaks, and decisive legs
David Davies produced the longest run of the match with 6 legs in a row.
4 legs were won against the throw, which is where the match pressure actually moved.
David Davies closed the final leg at 4–9 in 22 darts.

Scoring and finishing

Volume plus conversion
Mario Vandenbogaerde
3-dart avg87.8
180s / 140+ / 100+1 / 17 / 10
Checkout %22.0%
Highest checkout81
Checkouts4/18
David Davies
3-dart avg86.5
180s / 140+ / 100+3 / 7 / 13
Checkout %38.0%
Highest checkout81
Checkouts9/24

Momentum strip

Match flow by leg
L1David Davies
L2Mario Vandenbogaerde
L3David Davies
L4Mario Vandenbogaerde
L5David Davies
L6David Davies
L7David Davies
L8David Davies
L9David Davies
L10David Davies
L11Mario Vandenbogaerde
L12Mario Vandenbogaerde
L13David Davies

Leg-by-leg table

13 legs captured
LegWinnerDartsCheckout
Set 1 · Leg 1
David Davies
14Fast leg
52
Set 1 · Leg 2
Mario Vandenbogaerde
19
8
Set 1 · Leg 3
David Davies
17
49
Set 1 · Leg 4
Mario Vandenbogaerde
16
36
Set 1 · Leg 5
David Davies
14Fast leg
25
Set 2 · Leg 1Streak of 2
David Davies
16
40
Set 2 · Leg 2Streak of 3
David Davies
16
40
Set 2 · Leg 3Streak of 4
David Davies
14Fast leg
77
Set 3 · Leg 1Streak of 5
David Davies
19
8
Set 3 · Leg 2Streak of 6
David Davies
15Fast leg
81
Set 3 · Leg 3
Mario Vandenbogaerde
12Fast leg
81
Set 3 · Leg 4Streak of 2
Mario Vandenbogaerde
16
36
Set 3 · Leg 5
David Davies
22
8

Data coverage

Source and completeness
CoverageFull leg data
Stats rows2
Legs / visits13 / 143
Sourcederived_from_total_legs_won