180s2
140+1
100+8
Completed Match
Full breakdown modeModus Super Series • 28 Apr 2026, 12:42 UTC • Best of 7 legs
WinnerDawson Murschell
Score4–1
ModeFull breakdown
AI match summary
Post-match readJeff Smith holds the slight edge in first-nine accuracy, finishing with a 1.9-point margin advantage. While H2H and form data suggest a slight lean toward Jeff Smith, limited sample sizes warrant caution.
Edge result
Pre-match lean was on the wrong sideEdge missed
The pre-match model leaned the other way, so the post-match read now needs to explain what performance gap broke the original setup.
Player performance comparison
Final stat splitDawson Murschell avg95.7
Jeff Smith avg84.1
Dawson Murschell checkout57.0%
Jeff Smith checkout25.0%
Core match stats
Better values highlightedDawson MurschellJeff Smith
95.7
3-dart averageDawson Murschell edge
84.1
87.5
First 9 averageJeff Smith edge
89.5
57.0%
Checkout %Dawson Murschell edge
25.0%
8
100+Dawson Murschell edge
2
1
140+Jeff Smith edge
2
2
180sLevel
2
120
Highest checkoutDawson Murschell edge
84
Key performance insights
Driven by the final stat split and leg availabilityDawson Murschell created the cleaner scoring base with a 11.6 point edge in 3-dart average.
Dawson Murschell was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 32.0 percentage points better on doubles.
Scoring summary
Power scoring and volume180s2
140+2
100+2
Finishing summary
Checkout quality and conversionCheckout %57.0%
Highest checkout120
Checkouts4/7
Checkout %25.0%
Highest checkout84
Checkouts1/4
Momentum strip
Match flow by legL1Dawson Murschell
L2Dawson Murschell
L3Dawson Murschell
L4Jeff Smith
L5Dawson Murschell
Leg-by-leg table
5 legs capturedLegWinnerDartsCheckout
Set 1 · Leg 1
Dawson Murschell
14Fast leg
70
Set 1 · Leg 2Streak of 2
Dawson Murschell
15Fast leg
120
Set 1 · Leg 3Streak of 3
Dawson Murschell
16
40
Set 1 · Leg 4
Jeff Smith
18
84
Set 1 · Leg 5
Dawson Murschell
16
32
Match stats
2 player rowsDawson Murschell
3-dart avg95.7
First 987.5
Checkout57.0% (4/7)
180s2
High checkout120
100+ checkouts1
Jeff Smith
3-dart avg84.1
First 989.5
Checkout25.0% (1/4)
180s2
High checkout84
100+ checkouts0
AI edge post-mortem
Work in progressThe edge missed. The simplest culprit is finishing: Dawson Murschell outperformed on doubles, which is often enough to flip a match even when the original pre-match lean looked reasonable. Final score: 4–1.