Completed Match

Full leg data

Modus Super Series • 6 Feb 2026, 23:10 UTC • Best of 7 legs

WinnerCarl Wilson
Score4–1
DataFull leg data

Why this match was won

Post-match verdict

Carl Wilson won 4–1. The result was driven by a 9.1 point 3-dart average edge for Carl Wilson.

Average gap9.1 ptsCarl Wilson led the 3-dart average.
Checkout gap0.0 ptsPaul Hogan finished cleaner on doubles.
Leg flowNo runNo leg-by-leg run stood out.
Pre-match edgeNo clean edgePrediction unavailable

Pre-match edge post-mortem

Prediction unavailable
No clean edge

There was no clean structured pre-match edge to grade here. The useful read is the actual performance split and leg flow, not retrofitting a prediction after the fact.

Match comparison

One table, no stat-card cosplay
Carl WilsonPaul Hogan
94.2
3-dart averageCarl Wilson edge
85.1
106.3
First 9 averageCarl Wilson edge
85.5
33.0%
Checkout %Level
33.0%
5
100+Paul Hogan edge
7
4
140+Carl Wilson edge
2
1
180sCarl Wilson edge
0
32
Highest checkoutPaul Hogan edge
86

Key performance insights

Driven by the final stat split and leg availability
Carl Wilson created the cleaner scoring base with a 9.1 point edge in 3-dart average.
Carl Wilson set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 20.9 point First 9 advantage.
Wilson C. took the final leg in 16 darts, closing the match at 0–0.

Leg-flow story

Runs, breaks, and decisive legs
Wilson C. closed the final leg at 0–0 in 16 darts.

Scoring and finishing

Volume plus conversion
Carl Wilson
3-dart avg94.2
180s / 140+ / 100+1 / 4 / 5
Checkout %33.0%
Highest checkout32
Checkouts4/12
Paul Hogan
3-dart avg85.1
180s / 140+ / 100+0 / 2 / 7
Checkout %33.0%
Highest checkout86
Checkouts1/3

Momentum strip

Match flow by leg
L1Wilson C.
L2Hogan P.
L3Wilson C.
L4Wilson C.
L5Wilson C.

Leg-by-leg table

5 legs captured
LegWinnerDartsCheckout
Set 1 · Leg 1
Wilson C.
16
32
Set 1 · Leg 2
Hogan P.
18
86
Set 1 · Leg 3
Wilson C.
16
20
Set 1 · Leg 4
Wilson C.
13Fast leg
16
Set 1 · Leg 5
Wilson C.
16
20

Data coverage

Source and completeness
CoverageFull leg data
Stats rows2
Legs / visits5 / 54
Sourceexplicit