Completed Match

Full breakdown mode

Josh Rock

5–6

Ross Smith

European Darts Grand Prix • Round of 16 • 19 Apr 2026, 12:34 UTC • Best of 11 legs

WinnerRoss Smith
Score5–6
ModeFull breakdown

AI match summary

Post-match read

Josh Rock leads with a clear edge in form 3DA, demonstrating superior average performance. While Ross Smith holds a slight first-nine advantage, the overall lean favors Josh Rock.

Edge result

Pre-match lean was on the wrong side
Edge missed

The pre-match model leaned the other way, so the post-match read now needs to explain what performance gap broke the original setup.

Player performance comparison

Final stat split
Josh Rock avg95.9
Ross Smith avg98.6
Josh Rock checkout24.0%
Ross Smith checkout40.0%

Core match stats

Better values highlighted
Josh RockRoss Smith
95.9
3-dart averageRoss Smith edge
98.6
104.5
First 9 averageRoss Smith edge
107.5
24.0%
Checkout %Ross Smith edge
40.0%
12
100+Ross Smith edge
15
6
140+Level
6
5
180sJosh Rock edge
4
36
Highest checkoutRoss Smith edge
108

Key performance insights

Driven by the final stat split and leg availability
Ross Smith created the cleaner scoring base with a 2.8 point edge in 3-dart average.
Ross Smith was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 16.0 percentage points better on doubles.
Ross Smith set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 3.0 point First 9 advantage.

Scoring summary

Power scoring and volume
Josh Rock
180s5
140+6
100+12
Ross Smith
180s4
140+6
100+15

Finishing summary

Checkout quality and conversion
Josh Rock
Checkout %24.0%
Highest checkout36
Checkouts5/21
Ross Smith
Checkout %40.0%
Highest checkout108
Checkouts6/15

Momentum strip

Match flow by leg
L1Josh Rock
L2Ross Smith
L3Josh Rock
L4Ross Smith
L5Ross Smith
L6Ross Smith
L7Josh Rock
L8Ross Smith
L9Josh Rock
L10Josh Rock
L11Ross Smith

Leg-by-leg table

11 legs captured
LegWinnerDartsCheckout
Set 1 · Leg 1
Josh Rock
16
32
Set 1 · Leg 2
Ross Smith
14Fast leg
72
Set 1 · Leg 3
Josh Rock
13Fast leg
36
Set 1 · Leg 4
Ross Smith
16
32
Set 1 · Leg 5Streak of 2
Ross Smith
16
6
Set 1 · Leg 6Streak of 3
Ross Smith
11Fast leg
56
Set 1 · Leg 7
Josh Rock
16
8
Set 1 · Leg 8
Ross Smith
12Fast leg
108
Set 1 · Leg 9
Josh Rock
16
32
Set 1 · Leg 10Streak of 2
Josh Rock
13Fast leg
32
Set 1 · Leg 11
Ross Smith
13Fast leg
8

Match stats

2 player rows

Josh Rock

3-dart avg95.9
First 9104.5
Checkout24.0% (5/21)
180s5
High checkout36
100+ checkouts0

Ross Smith

3-dart avg98.6
First 9107.5
Checkout40.0% (6/15)
180s4
High checkout108
100+ checkouts1

AI edge post-mortem

Work in progress

The edge missed. The simplest culprit is finishing: Ross Smith outperformed on doubles, which is often enough to flip a match even when the original pre-match lean looked reasonable. Final score: 5–6.