180s1
140+7
100+5
Completed Match
Full breakdown modeModus Super Series • 18 Apr 2026, 20:20 UTC • Best of 7 legs
WinnerNeil Duff
Score4–1
ModeFull breakdown
AI match summary
Post-match readDerek Coulson leads in form_3da_edge by 3.5 points and form_first9_edge by 4.0 points, establishing a clear advantage in the matchup. The overall lean favors Derek Coulson based on these strong recent performance metrics.
Edge result
Pre-match lean was on the wrong sideEdge missed
The pre-match model leaned the other way, so the post-match read now needs to explain what performance gap broke the original setup.
Player performance comparison
Final stat splitNeil Duff avg101
Derek Coulson avg95.3
Neil Duff checkout40.0%
Derek Coulson checkout33.0%
Core match stats
Better values highlightedNeil DuffDerek Coulson
101
3-dart averageNeil Duff edge
95.3
113.3
First 9 averageNeil Duff edge
102.4
40.0%
Checkout %Neil Duff edge
33.0%
5
100+Derek Coulson edge
6
7
140+Neil Duff edge
4
1
180sLevel
1
32
Highest checkoutLevel
32
Key performance insights
Driven by the final stat split and leg availabilityNeil Duff created the cleaner scoring base with a 5.7 point edge in 3-dart average.
Neil Duff was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 7.0 percentage points better on doubles.
Neil Duff set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 10.9 point First 9 advantage.
Scoring summary
Power scoring and volume180s1
140+4
100+6
Finishing summary
Checkout quality and conversionCheckout %40.0%
Highest checkout32
Checkouts4/10
Checkout %33.0%
Highest checkout32
Checkouts1/3
Momentum strip
Match flow by legL1Neil Duff
L2Derek Coulson
L3Neil Duff
L4Neil Duff
L5Neil Duff
Leg-by-leg table
5 legs capturedLegWinnerDartsCheckout
Set 1 · Leg 1
Neil Duff
19
10
Set 1 · Leg 2
Derek Coulson
13Fast leg
32
Set 1 · Leg 3
Neil Duff
17
5
Set 1 · Leg 4Streak of 2
Neil Duff
10Fast leg
32
Set 1 · Leg 5Streak of 3
Neil Duff
13Fast leg
24
Match stats
2 player rowsNeil Duff
3-dart avg101
First 9113.3
Checkout40.0% (4/10)
180s1
High checkout32
100+ checkouts0
Derek Coulson
3-dart avg95.3
First 9102.4
Checkout33.0% (1/3)
180s1
High checkout32
100+ checkouts0
AI edge post-mortem
Work in progressThe edge missed. The simplest culprit is finishing: Neil Duff outperformed on doubles, which is often enough to flip a match even when the original pre-match lean looked reasonable. Final score: 4–1.