180s0
140+3
100+15
European Darts Grand Prix • Round 1 • 17 Apr 2026, 20:04 UTC • Best of 11 legs
Daryl Gurney leads with a clear form advantage in 3DA and first nine, supported by a slight head-to-head edge. The overall lean favors Daryl Gurney based on these consistent performance metrics.
The pre-match model leaned the other way, so the post-match read now needs to explain what performance gap broke the original setup.
The edge missed. The simplest culprit is finishing: Daryl Gurney outperformed on doubles, which is often enough to flip a match even when the original pre-match lean looked reasonable. Final score: 5–6.