Completed Match
Full leg dataSaudi Arabia Darts Masters 2026 • Round of 16 • 19 Jan 2026, 17:05 UTC • Best of 11 legs
WinnerNathan Aspinall
Score6–1
DataFull leg data
Why this match was won
Post-match verdictNathan Aspinall won 6–1. The result was driven by a 19.8 point 3-dart average edge for Nathan Aspinall; a 50.0 percentage point checkout edge for Lourence Ilagan; the longest leg run belonging to Nathan Aspinall at 5 legs.
Pre-match edge post-mortem
Prediction unavailableNo clean edge
There was no clean structured pre-match edge to grade here. The useful read is the actual performance split and leg flow, not retrofitting a prediction after the fact.
Match comparison
One table, no stat-card cosplayNathan AspinallLourence Ilagan
100.9
3-dart averageNathan Aspinall edge
81.1
107.5
First 9 averageNathan Aspinall edge
82.1
50.0%
Checkout %Lourence Ilagan edge
100.0%
8
100+Level
8
6
140+Nathan Aspinall edge
3
2
180sNathan Aspinall edge
0
86
Highest checkoutLourence Ilagan edge
98
Key performance insights
Driven by the final stat split and leg availabilityNathan Aspinall created the cleaner scoring base with a 19.8 point edge in 3-dart average.
Lourence Ilagan was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 50.0 percentage points better on doubles.
Nathan Aspinall set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 25.4 point First 9 advantage.
Nathan Aspinall took the final leg in 12 darts, closing the match at 6–1.
Leg-flow story
Runs, breaks, and decisive legsNathan Aspinall produced the longest run of the match with 5 legs in a row.
2 legs were won against the throw, which is where the match pressure actually moved.
Nathan Aspinall closed the final leg at 6–1 in 12 darts.
Scoring and finishing
Volume plus conversion3-dart avg100.9
180s / 140+ / 100+2 / 6 / 8
Checkout %50.0%
Highest checkout86
Checkouts6/12
3-dart avg81.1
180s / 140+ / 100+0 / 3 / 8
Checkout %100.0%
Highest checkout98
Checkouts1/1
Momentum strip
Match flow by legL1Nathan Aspinall
L2Nathan Aspinall
L3Nathan Aspinall
L4Nathan Aspinall
L5Nathan Aspinall
L6Lourence Ilagan
L7Nathan Aspinall
Leg-by-leg table
7 legs capturedLegWinnerDartsCheckout
Leg 1
Nathan Aspinall
15Fast leg
86
Leg 2Streak of 2
Nathan Aspinall
14Fast leg
70
Leg 3Streak of 3
Nathan Aspinall
16
40
Leg 4Streak of 4
Nathan Aspinall
16
32
Leg 5Streak of 5
Nathan Aspinall
19
12
Leg 6
Lourence Ilagan
15Fast leg
98
Leg 7
Nathan Aspinall
12Fast leg
81
Data coverage
Source and completenessCoverageFull leg data
Stats rows2
Legs / visits7 / 71
Sourceexplicit
