DartsEdge

Completed Match

Full leg data

Nathan Aspinall

6–4

Lourence Ilagan

Bahrain Darts Masters 2026 • Round of 16 • 15 Jan 2026, 17:40 UTC • Best of 11 legs

WinnerNathan Aspinall
Score6–4
DataFull leg data

Why this match was won

Post-match verdict

Nathan Aspinall won 6–4. The result was driven by a 2.0 point 3-dart average edge for Nathan Aspinall; a 6.0 percentage point checkout edge for Nathan Aspinall; the longest leg run belonging to Nathan Aspinall at 3 legs.

Average gap2.0 ptsNathan Aspinall led the 3-dart average.
Checkout gap6.0 ptsNathan Aspinall finished cleaner on doubles.
Leg flow3-leg runNathan Aspinall had the longest scoring burst.
Pre-match edgeNo clean edgePrediction unavailable

Pre-match edge post-mortem

Prediction unavailable
No clean edge

There was no clean structured pre-match edge to grade here. The useful read is the actual performance split and leg flow, not retrofitting a prediction after the fact.

Match comparison

One table, no stat-card cosplay
Nathan AspinallLourence Ilagan
90.6
3-dart averageNathan Aspinall edge
88.6
107.6
First 9 averageNathan Aspinall edge
94.8
30.0%
Checkout %Nathan Aspinall edge
24.0%
13
100+Lourence Ilagan edge
15
8
140+Nathan Aspinall edge
5
1
180sLourence Ilagan edge
2
68
Highest checkoutLourence Ilagan edge
80

Key performance insights

Driven by the final stat split and leg availability
Nathan Aspinall created the cleaner scoring base with a 2.0 point edge in 3-dart average.
Nathan Aspinall was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 6.0 percentage points better on doubles.
Nathan Aspinall set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 12.8 point First 9 advantage.
Nathan Aspinall took the final leg in 16 darts, closing the match at 6–4.

Leg-flow story

Runs, breaks, and decisive legs
Nathan Aspinall produced the longest run of the match with 3 legs in a row.
3 legs were won against the throw, which is where the match pressure actually moved.
Nathan Aspinall closed the final leg at 6–4 in 16 darts.

Scoring and finishing

Volume plus conversion
Nathan Aspinall
3-dart avg90.6
180s / 140+ / 100+1 / 8 / 13
Checkout %30.0%
Highest checkout68
Checkouts6/20
Lourence Ilagan
3-dart avg88.6
180s / 140+ / 100+2 / 5 / 15
Checkout %24.0%
Highest checkout80
Checkouts4/17

Momentum strip

Match flow by leg
L1Lourence Ilagan
L2Nathan Aspinall
L3Nathan Aspinall
L4Nathan Aspinall
L5Lourence Ilagan
L6Nathan Aspinall
L7Lourence Ilagan
L8Lourence Ilagan
L9Nathan Aspinall
L10Nathan Aspinall

Leg-by-leg table

10 legs captured
LegWinnerDartsCheckout
Leg 1
Lourence Ilagan
16
40
Leg 2
Nathan Aspinall
19
20
Leg 3Streak of 2
Nathan Aspinall
13Fast leg
24
Leg 4Streak of 3
Nathan Aspinall
14Fast leg
68
Leg 5
Lourence Ilagan
16
40
Leg 6
Nathan Aspinall
16
20
Leg 7
Lourence Ilagan
16
36
Leg 8Streak of 2
Lourence Ilagan
17
80
Leg 9
Nathan Aspinall
13Fast leg
24
Leg 10Streak of 2
Nathan Aspinall
16
32

Data coverage

Source and completeness
CoverageFull leg data
Stats rows2
Legs / visits10 / 109
Sourceexplicit