Completed Match

Full leg data

Players Championship 11 • T128 • 20 May 2023, 00:00 UTC • Best of 15 legs

WinnerEddie Lovely
Score5–6
DataFull leg data

Why this match was won

Post-match verdict

Eddie Lovely won 5–6. The result was driven by a 6.0 percentage point checkout edge for Nathan Rafferty; the longest leg run belonging to Nathan Rafferty at 3 legs.

Average gap0.7 ptsNathan Rafferty led the 3-dart average.
Checkout gap6.0 ptsNathan Rafferty finished cleaner on doubles.
Leg flow3-leg runNathan Rafferty had the longest scoring burst.
Pre-match edgeNo clean edgePrediction unavailable

Pre-match edge post-mortem

Prediction unavailable
No clean edge

There was no clean structured pre-match edge to grade here. The useful read is the actual performance split and leg flow, not retrofitting a prediction after the fact.

Match comparison

One table, no stat-card cosplay
Nathan RaffertyEddie Lovely
86.4
3-dart averageNathan Rafferty edge
85.7
91
First 9 averageEddie Lovely edge
97.6
38.0%
Checkout %Nathan Rafferty edge
32.0%
18
100+Eddie Lovely edge
19
5
140+Eddie Lovely edge
10
2
180sNathan Rafferty edge
1
140
Highest checkoutNathan Rafferty edge
82

Key performance insights

Driven by the final stat split and leg availability
Nathan Rafferty was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 6.0 percentage points better on doubles.
Eddie Lovely set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 6.6 point First 9 advantage.
Eddie Lovely took the final leg in 16 darts, closing the match at 5–6.

Leg-flow story

Runs, breaks, and decisive legs
Nathan Rafferty produced the longest run of the match with 3 legs in a row.
2 legs were won against the throw, which is where the match pressure actually moved.
Eddie Lovely closed the final leg at 5–6 in 16 darts.

Scoring and finishing

Volume plus conversion
Nathan Rafferty
3-dart avg86.4
180s / 140+ / 100+2 / 5 / 18
Checkout %38.0%
Highest checkout140
Checkouts5/13
Eddie Lovely
3-dart avg85.7
180s / 140+ / 100+1 / 10 / 19
Checkout %32.0%
Highest checkout82
Checkouts6/19

Momentum strip

Match flow by leg
L1Eddie Lovely
L2Nathan Rafferty
L3Eddie Lovely
L4Nathan Rafferty
L5Eddie Lovely
L6Nathan Rafferty
L7Nathan Rafferty
L8Nathan Rafferty
L9Eddie Lovely
L10Eddie Lovely
L11Eddie Lovely

Leg-by-leg table

11 legs captured
LegWinnerDartsCheckout
Set 1 · Leg 1
Eddie Lovely
19
20
Set 1 · Leg 2
Nathan Rafferty
13Fast leg
40
Set 1 · Leg 3
Eddie Lovely
22
16
Set 1 · Leg 4
Nathan Rafferty
15Fast leg
140
Set 1 · Leg 5
Eddie Lovely
16
20
Set 1 · Leg 6
Nathan Rafferty
16
16
Set 1 · Leg 7Streak of 2
Nathan Rafferty
16
18
Set 1 · Leg 8Streak of 3
Nathan Rafferty
14Fast leg
71
Set 1 · Leg 9
Eddie Lovely
15Fast leg
82
Set 1 · Leg 10Streak of 2
Eddie Lovely
16
40
Set 1 · Leg 11Streak of 3
Eddie Lovely
16
40

Data coverage

Source and completeness
CoverageFull leg data
Stats rows2
Legs / visits11 / 121
Sourceexplicit