DartsEdge

Completed Match

Full leg data

Josh Payne

2–6

Nathan Rafferty

Players Championship 27 • T128 • 15 Oct 2024, 00:00 UTC • Best of 15 legs

WinnerNathan Rafferty
Score2–6
DataFull leg data

Why this match was won

Post-match verdict

Nathan Rafferty won 2–6. The result was driven by a 6.6 point 3-dart average edge for Nathan Rafferty; a 21.0 percentage point checkout edge for Nathan Rafferty; the longest leg run belonging to Nathan Rafferty at 2 legs.

Average gap6.6 ptsNathan Rafferty led the 3-dart average.
Checkout gap21.0 ptsNathan Rafferty finished cleaner on doubles.
Leg flow2-leg runNathan Rafferty had the longest scoring burst.
Pre-match edgeNo clean edgePrediction unavailable

Pre-match edge post-mortem

Prediction unavailable
No clean edge

There was no clean structured pre-match edge to grade here. The useful read is the actual performance split and leg flow, not retrofitting a prediction after the fact.

Match comparison

One table, no stat-card cosplay
Josh PayneNathan Rafferty
84.9
3-dart averageNathan Rafferty edge
91.5
88.1
First 9 averageNathan Rafferty edge
100.1
25.0%
Checkout %Nathan Rafferty edge
46.0%
13
100+Nathan Rafferty edge
18
6
140+Level
6
2
180sLevel
2
95
Highest checkoutNathan Rafferty edge
108

Key performance insights

Driven by the final stat split and leg availability
Nathan Rafferty created the cleaner scoring base with a 6.6 point edge in 3-dart average.
Nathan Rafferty was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 21.0 percentage points better on doubles.
Nathan Rafferty set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 12.0 point First 9 advantage.
Nathan Rafferty took the final leg in 18 darts, closing the match at 2–6.

Leg-flow story

Runs, breaks, and decisive legs
Nathan Rafferty produced the longest run of the match with 2 legs in a row.
4 legs were won against the throw, which is where the match pressure actually moved.
Nathan Rafferty closed the final leg at 2–6 in 18 darts.

Scoring and finishing

Volume plus conversion
Josh Payne
3-dart avg84.9
180s / 140+ / 100+2 / 6 / 13
Checkout %25.0%
Highest checkout95
Checkouts2/8
Nathan Rafferty
3-dart avg91.5
180s / 140+ / 100+2 / 6 / 18
Checkout %46.0%
Highest checkout108
Checkouts6/13

Momentum strip

Match flow by leg
L1Nathan Rafferty
L2Nathan Rafferty
L3Josh Payne
L4Nathan Rafferty
L5Nathan Rafferty
L6Josh Payne
L7Nathan Rafferty
L8Nathan Rafferty

Leg-by-leg table

8 legs captured
LegWinnerDartsCheckout
Set 1 · Leg 1
Nathan Rafferty
15Fast leg
108
Set 1 · Leg 2Streak of 2
Nathan Rafferty
17
70
Set 1 · Leg 3
Josh Payne
15Fast leg
95
Set 1 · Leg 4
Nathan Rafferty
13Fast leg
40
Set 1 · Leg 5Streak of 2
Nathan Rafferty
19
20
Set 1 · Leg 6
Josh Payne
17
70
Set 1 · Leg 7
Nathan Rafferty
14Fast leg
80
Set 1 · Leg 8Streak of 2
Nathan Rafferty
18
84

Data coverage

Source and completeness
CoverageFull leg data
Stats rows2
Legs / visits8 / 86
Sourceexplicit