DartsEdge

Completed Match

Full leg data

Nathan Rafferty

6–5

Owen Bates

Players Championship 32 • T128 • 15 Oct 2025, 00:00 UTC • Best of 15 legs

WinnerNathan Rafferty
Score6–5
DataFull leg data

Why this match was won

Post-match verdict

Nathan Rafferty won 6–5. The result was driven by a 3.5 point 3-dart average edge for Owen Bates; a 5.0 percentage point checkout edge for Owen Bates; the longest leg run belonging to Owen Bates at 2 legs.

Average gap3.5 ptsOwen Bates led the 3-dart average.
Checkout gap5.0 ptsOwen Bates finished cleaner on doubles.
Leg flow2-leg runOwen Bates had the longest scoring burst.
Pre-match edgeNo clean edgePrediction unavailable

Pre-match edge post-mortem

Prediction unavailable
No clean edge

There was no clean structured pre-match edge to grade here. The useful read is the actual performance split and leg flow, not retrofitting a prediction after the fact.

Match comparison

One table, no stat-card cosplay
Nathan RaffertyOwen Bates
84.5
3-dart averageOwen Bates edge
88
87.8
First 9 averageOwen Bates edge
97.2
33.0%
Checkout %Owen Bates edge
38.0%
20
100+Level
20
3
140+Owen Bates edge
11
1
180sOwen Bates edge
5
90
Highest checkoutNathan Rafferty edge
84

Key performance insights

Driven by the final stat split and leg availability
Owen Bates created the cleaner scoring base with a 3.5 point edge in 3-dart average.
Owen Bates was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 5.0 percentage points better on doubles.
Owen Bates set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 9.4 point First 9 advantage.
Nathan Rafferty took the final leg in 19 darts, closing the match at 6–5.

Leg-flow story

Runs, breaks, and decisive legs
Owen Bates produced the longest run of the match with 2 legs in a row.
4 legs were won against the throw, which is where the match pressure actually moved.
Nathan Rafferty closed the final leg at 6–5 in 19 darts.

Scoring and finishing

Volume plus conversion
Nathan Rafferty
3-dart avg84.5
180s / 140+ / 100+1 / 3 / 20
Checkout %33.0%
Highest checkout90
Checkouts6/18
Owen Bates
3-dart avg88
180s / 140+ / 100+5 / 11 / 20
Checkout %38.0%
Highest checkout84
Checkouts5/13

Momentum strip

Match flow by leg
L1Nathan Rafferty
L2Owen Bates
L3Owen Bates
L4Nathan Rafferty
L5Nathan Rafferty
L6Owen Bates
L7Owen Bates
L8Nathan Rafferty
L9Nathan Rafferty
L10Owen Bates
L11Nathan Rafferty

Leg-by-leg table

11 legs captured
LegWinnerDartsCheckout
Set 1 · Leg 1
Nathan Rafferty
18
90
Set 1 · Leg 2
Owen Bates
11Fast leg
46
Set 1 · Leg 3Streak of 2
Owen Bates
18
84
Set 1 · Leg 4
Nathan Rafferty
14Fast leg
70
Set 1 · Leg 5Streak of 2
Nathan Rafferty
17
57
Set 1 · Leg 6
Owen Bates
16
20
Set 1 · Leg 7Streak of 2
Owen Bates
19
36
Set 1 · Leg 8
Nathan Rafferty
14Fast leg
76
Set 1 · Leg 9Streak of 2
Nathan Rafferty
14Fast leg
67
Set 1 · Leg 10
Owen Bates
16
18
Set 1 · Leg 11
Nathan Rafferty
19
40

Data coverage

Source and completeness
CoverageFull leg data
Stats rows2
Legs / visits11 / 119
Sourceexplicit