DartsEdge

Completed Match

Full leg data

Ross Smith

6–9

Paolo Nebrida

PDC World Championship 2025 • Round of 64 • 22 Dec 2024, 20:07 UTC • Best of 5 legs

WinnerPaolo Nebrida
Score6–9
DataFull leg data

Why this match was won

Post-match verdict

Paolo Nebrida won 6–9. The result was driven by a 1.3 point 3-dart average edge for Paolo Nebrida; a 59.0 percentage point checkout edge for Paolo Nebrida; the longest leg run belonging to Paolo Nebrida at 4 legs.

Average gap1.3 ptsPaolo Nebrida led the 3-dart average.
Checkout gap59.0 ptsPaolo Nebrida finished cleaner on doubles.
Leg flow4-leg runPaolo Nebrida had the longest scoring burst.
Pre-match edgeNo clean edgePrediction unavailable

Pre-match edge post-mortem

Prediction unavailable
No clean edge

There was no clean structured pre-match edge to grade here. The useful read is the actual performance split and leg flow, not retrofitting a prediction after the fact.

Match comparison

One table, no stat-card cosplay
Ross SmithPaolo Nebrida
89.8
3-dart averagePaolo Nebrida edge
91.1
96.4
First 9 averagePaolo Nebrida edge
101
23.0%
Checkout %Paolo Nebrida edge
82.0%
23
100+Ross Smith edge
18
7
140+Level
7
4
180sLevel
4
97
Highest checkoutPaolo Nebrida edge
120

Key performance insights

Driven by the final stat split and leg availability
Paolo Nebrida created the cleaner scoring base with a 1.3 point edge in 3-dart average.
Paolo Nebrida was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 59.0 percentage points better on doubles.
Paolo Nebrida set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 4.5 point First 9 advantage.
Paolo Nebrida took the final leg in 17 darts, closing the match at 6–9.

Leg-flow story

Runs, breaks, and decisive legs
Paolo Nebrida produced the longest run of the match with 4 legs in a row.
3 legs were won against the throw, which is where the match pressure actually moved.
Paolo Nebrida closed the final leg at 6–9 in 17 darts.

Scoring and finishing

Volume plus conversion
Ross Smith
3-dart avg89.8
180s / 140+ / 100+4 / 7 / 23
Checkout %23.0%
Highest checkout97
Checkouts6/26
Paolo Nebrida
3-dart avg91.1
180s / 140+ / 100+4 / 7 / 18
Checkout %82.0%
Highest checkout120
Checkouts9/11

Momentum strip

Match flow by leg
L1Paolo Nebrida
L2Ross Smith
L3Paolo Nebrida
L4Ross Smith
L5Paolo Nebrida
L6Ross Smith
L7Paolo Nebrida
L8Ross Smith
L9Paolo Nebrida
L10Paolo Nebrida
L11Paolo Nebrida
L12Paolo Nebrida
L13Ross Smith
L14Ross Smith
L15Paolo Nebrida

Leg-by-leg table

15 legs captured
LegWinnerDartsCheckout
Set 1 · Leg 1
Paolo Nebrida
17
80
Set 1 · Leg 2
Ross Smith
14Fast leg
78
Set 1 · Leg 3
Paolo Nebrida
15Fast leg
120
Set 1 · Leg 4
Ross Smith
18
97
Set 1 · Leg 5
Paolo Nebrida
16
40
Set 2 · Leg 1
Ross Smith
16
20
Set 2 · Leg 2
Paolo Nebrida
13Fast leg
32
Set 2 · Leg 3
Ross Smith
16
12
Set 2 · Leg 4
Paolo Nebrida
15Fast leg
116
Set 2 · Leg 5Streak of 2
Paolo Nebrida
14Fast leg
52
Set 3 · Leg 1Streak of 3
Paolo Nebrida
18
118
Set 3 · Leg 2Streak of 4
Paolo Nebrida
16
32
Set 3 · Leg 3
Ross Smith
16
40
Set 3 · Leg 4Streak of 2
Ross Smith
13Fast leg
36
Set 3 · Leg 5
Paolo Nebrida
17
48

Data coverage

Source and completeness
CoverageFull leg data
Stats rows2
Legs / visits15 / 156
Sourcederived_from_total_legs_won