DartsEdge

Completed Match

Full leg data

Rob Cross

3–6

Paolo Nebrida

Bahrain Darts Masters 2025 • Round of 16 • 16 Jan 2025, 17:10 UTC • Best of 11 legs

WinnerPaolo Nebrida
Score3–6
DataFull leg data

Why this match was won

Post-match verdict

Paolo Nebrida won 3–6. The result was driven by a 3.9 point 3-dart average edge for Rob Cross; a 13.0 percentage point checkout edge for Paolo Nebrida; the longest leg run belonging to Paolo Nebrida at 2 legs.

Average gap3.9 ptsRob Cross led the 3-dart average.
Checkout gap13.0 ptsPaolo Nebrida finished cleaner on doubles.
Leg flow2-leg runPaolo Nebrida had the longest scoring burst.
Pre-match edgeNo clean edgePrediction unavailable

Pre-match edge post-mortem

Prediction unavailable
No clean edge

There was no clean structured pre-match edge to grade here. The useful read is the actual performance split and leg flow, not retrofitting a prediction after the fact.

Match comparison

One table, no stat-card cosplay
Rob CrossPaolo Nebrida
86.3
3-dart averageRob Cross edge
82.4
103.3
First 9 averageRob Cross edge
91
14.0%
Checkout %Paolo Nebrida edge
27.0%
8
100+Paolo Nebrida edge
15
6
140+Rob Cross edge
5
3
180sRob Cross edge
1
32
Highest checkoutPaolo Nebrida edge
116

Key performance insights

Driven by the final stat split and leg availability
Rob Cross created the cleaner scoring base with a 3.9 point edge in 3-dart average.
Paolo Nebrida was the sharper finisher, clearing chances 13.0 percentage points better on doubles.
Rob Cross set the tone earlier in legs, opening with a 12.3 point First 9 advantage.
Paolo Nebrida took the final leg in 14 darts, closing the match at 3–6.

Leg-flow story

Runs, breaks, and decisive legs
Paolo Nebrida produced the longest run of the match with 2 legs in a row.
2 legs were won against the throw, which is where the match pressure actually moved.
Paolo Nebrida closed the final leg at 3–6 in 14 darts.

Scoring and finishing

Volume plus conversion
Rob Cross
3-dart avg86.3
180s / 140+ / 100+3 / 6 / 8
Checkout %14.0%
Highest checkout32
Checkouts3/22
Paolo Nebrida
3-dart avg82.4
180s / 140+ / 100+1 / 5 / 15
Checkout %27.0%
Highest checkout116
Checkouts6/22

Momentum strip

Match flow by leg
L1Paolo Nebrida
L2Paolo Nebrida
L3Rob Cross
L4Paolo Nebrida
L5Rob Cross
L6Paolo Nebrida
L7Rob Cross
L8Paolo Nebrida
L9Paolo Nebrida

Leg-by-leg table

9 legs captured
LegWinnerDartsCheckout
Set 1 · Leg 1
Paolo Nebrida
19
20
Set 1 · Leg 2Streak of 2
Paolo Nebrida
16
16
Set 1 · Leg 3
Rob Cross
16
16
Set 1 · Leg 4
Paolo Nebrida
28
16
Set 1 · Leg 5
Rob Cross
16
18
Set 1 · Leg 6
Paolo Nebrida
14Fast leg
52
Set 1 · Leg 7
Rob Cross
13Fast leg
32
Set 1 · Leg 8
Paolo Nebrida
15Fast leg
116
Set 1 · Leg 9Streak of 2
Paolo Nebrida
14Fast leg
62

Data coverage

Source and completeness
CoverageFull leg data
Stats rows2
Legs / visits9 / 103
Sourceexplicit