180s3
140+5
100+9
Premier League, Night 11 • Quarterfinals • 16 Apr 2026, 18:11 UTC • Best of 11 legs
Michael van Gerwen leads with a clear edge in form 3DA, supported by a clear class 3DA margin. While checkout edges are neutral, the overall lean favors Van Gerwen based on these primary scoring factors.
The pre-match model leaned the other way, so the post-match read now needs to explain what performance gap broke the original setup.
The edge missed. The simplest culprit is finishing: Jonny Clayton outperformed on doubles, which is often enough to flip a match even when the original pre-match lean looked reasonable. Final score: 2–6.